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Relegation Sunday Scenarios

By | 22nd May 2009

sunderlandWhile the Premier League title is all wrapped up, the final matchday of the season will be filled with lots of action and even more drama. The relegation battle is still entirely up in the air, with only West Bromwich Albion guaranteed to be playing Championship football next season.

Here’s how everything stacks up for the clubs that can still go down:

16. Sunderland

Sunderland consider themselves in the best of the relegation candidates’ positions, as Ricky Sbragia’s side currently sit in 16th place. Even then, the Black Cats are only two points above the relegation zone. Even more devastating to Sunderland fans, Chelsea will stroll into the Stadium of Light this weekend.

A win will… If Sunderland beat Chelsea this Sunday they will be guaranteed a spot in next season’s Premiership campaign.

A draw will… If Sunderland can only manage a draw at home against a rampant Chelsea side, things could get sticky. One point would put Sunderland at 37 points, so if Newcastle and Hull both win then Sunderland will go down. If both of these clubs do not win, a draw will be enough to gurantee Sunderland survival. If just one wins and the other draws, or they both draw, Sunderland will be safe.

A loss will… A Sunderland loss will put them in a lot of trouble, provided Hull City beat Manchester United. If Hull City get a draw or a loss against Manchester United, Sunderland can afford to lose against Chelsea and know that they will be safe. For Sunderland to go down with a loss both Hull and Newcastle will have to win (similar to above).

The bottom line. As long as both Hull and Newcastle do not win, Sunderland will be safe. If both of these teams win, Sunderland will have to beat Chelsea.

17. Hull City

Hull have gone from first place to on the brink of relegation, and the final day of the season will determine Hull City’s fate. A daunting match against Manchester United leaves Tigers fans with little hope, but provided other results go their way they will still be safe.

A win will… A win will save Hull City! Regardless of other results, if Hull can manage to pick up all three points against Manchester United then they will be safe.

A draw will… If Hull can scrape a draw against the Premier League champions, other results will need to go Phil Brown’s way. A Hull draw coupled with a Newcastle win against Aston Villa will send Hull right back down to the Championship. If Hull draw and Newcastle do anything other than win, Hull is safe.

A loss will… Both Newcastle and Middlesbrough are hoping for a Hull loss, as a United victory would allow the two northern sides to slip above Hull in the table. If Hull lose and Newcastle win, no matter what Hull will face the drop. If Hull lose and Newcastle draw, Hull will go down no matter what. If Newcastle lose, though, Hull could still go down with a loss against United coupled with a Middlesbrough win over West Ham. The goal difference between Hull and Boro is four goals in favor of Hull, so Boro would have to make up that difference.

The bottom line. Hull’s fate pretty much lies with Newcastle. At the end of the day, Hull need to get the same result as Newcastle or do better.

Check back tomorrow for the final two relegation scenarios.



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  1. [...] Sunderland and Hull are currently sitting above the relegation zone, Newcastle and Middlesbrough are occupying the final two relegation spots. Here’s how things [...]

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